Fiscal FactCheck
Latest
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Would a 10% VAT Pay for a $1,000 per Month UBI?
During the first 2020 Democratic presidential primary debate, candidate Andrew Yang claimed that his Universal Basic Income (UBI) proposal of $1,000...
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Was the Federal Reserve’s Monetary Tightening Unprecedented?
In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, House Ways and Means Committee Ranking Member Kevin Brady (R-TX) and former National Economic Council director Larry...
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Does the President's Budget Slash Medicare by $845 Billion?
President Trump's Fiscal Year (FY) 2020 budget released Monday has been met with significant criticism, especially from us. But one of the most widely...
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The Tax Bill Did Not Cause Revenue to Rise
A common misleading claim this fall has been that tax revenues have increased, even with the large tax cuts enacted last year. While it is technically...
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Are Defense and Disasters Causing the Deficit Increase?
When asked about the increasing deficit, President Trump yesterday pointed to defense spending increases and disaster relief. While both of those...
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No, Really, Tax Revenue Has Not Risen
Update: After the end of the fiscal year, we published an updated version of this piece with final numbers from the Treasury Department. At the...
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Has Revenue Risen in 2018?
A recent Wall Street Journal piece suggests that despite massive tax cuts, revenue continues to rise. In reality, revenue has fallen since the...
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Has the Recent Economic Boom Offset 88% of the Cost of the Tax Cut?
In a Wall Street Journal op-ed shared by the House Ways and Means Committee, Mike Solon of US Policy Metrics makes the argument that thanks to recent...
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Growth Just Hit 4.1 Percent – Don't Expect It To Last
The Bureau of Economic Analysis today released its initial estimate that the economy grew at a 4.1 percent annualized rate in the second quarter of...
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Have Deficit Projections Doubled Because of the Tax Bill and BBA 2018?
Chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee Kevin Brady (R-TX) appeared on Fox Business this morning, where he was asked about CRFB's analysis...
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Does CBO "Expect the TCJA to Significantly Boost" the Economy in 2018?
UPDATE: The FRBSF paper has been corrected to remove the erroneous claim that CBO’s growth estimates are well in excess of theirs. The below fact...
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The Deficit Is Not "Coming Down Rapidly"
This morning, White House National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow appeared on Fox Business and made the following claim (emphasis added): "As...