Economy
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CBO Projects a Recession -- But How Deep?
We've warned many times before that going off the fiscal cliff would throw the economy into a double dip recession. With CBO's updated budget and...
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Goldman Sachs On the Fiscal Cliff
In a new investor note, Alec Philips of Goldman Sachs produced a useful new chart comparing three different scenarios for extending all the fiscal...
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How Long Will Low Interest Rates Last?
Are we really borrowing for free, and should we be taking advantage of it? Over the last few years, we’ve seen interest rates continue to fall to...
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The Concord Coalition Provides Fiscal Lessons From Europe
The Concord Coalition has just unveiled a new paper, authored by Edmund Andrews, Joe Minarik, and Diane Lim Rodgers, called " Not Just Their Problem...
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It's Not Free Money
Paul Krugman and other advocates of more federal stimulus spending cite today’s extremely low real interest rates, near zero or negative, as reason to...
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How Does the Fiscal Cliff Compare to Past Deficit Reduction in the U.S.?
In evaluating the fiscal cliff, it is interesting to see how it compares to past cases where the federal government has rapidly reduced deficits. The...
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Zero-Sum Doesn't Quite Cut It
The New York Times has an article today entitled " In Washington’s New Mood of Austerity, Legislating Turns Into a Zero-Sum Game," detailing how the...
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IMF: U.S. Must Get Its Timing Right
Today, the IMF released the concluding statement of its Article IV Consultation, calling for the U.S. to pass a deficit reduction plan quickly but...
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Bill Bradley Joins the Announcement Effect Club
Already a member of the Basketball Hall of Fame, former Sen. Bill Bradley (D-NJ) joined another exclusive club over the weekend: the Announcement...
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How Big is the Fiscal Cliff?
UPDATE: This blog has been updated to include CBO's brief about the fiscal cliff. About a month ago, we reported our estimates of how much the fiscal...
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What the U.S. Could Learn from Germany
Steep budget cuts are linked to recession and higher unemployment in Europe, argue several commentators (see here for example). Are they right...
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No Surprise: Fiscal Cliff Causing A Lot of Uncertainty
We have been warning for a few months now about the potential consequences of the fiscal cliff -- and adding to the debt by averting it all together...