Update: The second graph has been corrected to show the correct year for each line.
Politicians and economists have long talked about the negative effects of an accumulating national debt, but cannot always quantify their position. This week's report on the long-term budget outlook from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) attempts to put some hard numbers behind the consequences of high debt.
Update: CBO has now released its official Alternative Fiscal Scenario estimates (tab 6 of the Excel). They find that debt reaches 165 percent of GDP in 2039, one year later than we estimated.
CBO's Long-Term Budget Outlook is a sizeable 126-page document with tons of facts and figures, and an accompanying spreadsheet with even more data. In order to help people pull out the key findings and takeaways from the report, we've condensed the document down to a concise 7-page analysis of the key facts and figures.
The Congressional Budget Office, on Friday, estimated that the Energy & Commerce Committee’s (E&C) bill to permanently replace the flawed Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR) formula is expected to cost $175.5 billion from 2014-2023, $36 billion higher than the cost of a permanent freeze in Medicare physician payments. !-
Reading the news these days, you might think our debt problem has been solved: the federal deficit has been revised downward and is falling to its lowest level in five years. Yesterday, however, Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Director Doug Elmendorf made clear that he, for one, does not subscribe to that view.
Today, the Congressional Budget Office released a new report on Pell Grants which details the program and recent changes made to it, shows options to reform it, and possible alternatives to the existing program. Pell Grants are the largest of the federal governments' grant programs for higher education and are the primary channel for federal financial aid besides federal student loans.
The slowdown in health care spending growth in recent years has been a hotly debated topic, as experts try to figure out the source of the slowdown. Some have theorized that it is due mostly to the weak economy, while others have argued that changes in the delivery of care or other factors, perhaps in anticipation of the implementation of the Affordable Care Act, have been the main drivers.